According to a new poll from Global News Ipsos Reid

Poll: Federal Election coming down to Toronto and B.C.

The Lower Mainland is divided into camps supporting the Liberals, NDP, and Conservatives, according to an Ipsos Reid poll.

Across the board, it’s too close to call.

This according to a new poll (September 8, 2015) conducted by Global News and Ipsos Reid, which has the NDP, Liberals, and Conservatives all polling within five per cent of each either, in advance of this October’s federal election.

Mulcair and the NDP are in the lead with 34 per cent of Ipsos Reid’s “decided voters” saying Yes to orange. Trudeau and the Liberal Party have gained, increasing their projected haul to 103 seats from the group’s last national poll, a 30 per cent total.

Meanwhile, Stephen Harper’s Conservatives are third with 29 per cent – down the ladder but only five ticks behind the lead.

Harper’s team is within roping distance of Mulcair’s lead, but it also means 71 per cent of those polled have “decided” they want a change in government – and that includes 64 per cent who would vote for either of the Conservatives’ only true federal challengers.

The poll’s findings also throw B.C. under the spotlight:

“Where the real play is at… (is) in Ontario and British Columbia,” said John Wright, the CEO of Ipsos. “These are the two areas that are going to produce either a minority or a majority government for somebody.”

On the poll’s current mapping, the NDP, Liberals, and Conservatives are all splitting the province into three corners – the orange have the Island and much of the north, red has parts of Vancouver and a large bubble north of it, while blue hugs the border.

And much of the Lower Mainland is still undecided.

“It’s really going to come down to who owns that 905 (area) around the Toronto area that is still in play,” added Wright, in an interview with Global, “and who ends up the breadbasket winner in British Columbia.”

Information/data: Global News Ipsos Reid

Just Posted

Stabbing at Surrey banquet hall sends man to hospital

RCMP says victim has ‘non-life threatening’ injuries, incident still under investigation

55-year-old man taken to hospital after fire at Surrey RV park

Firefighters find man suffering from smoke inhalation, burns to face and hands: battalion chief

Slam poetry creates catharsis for North Delta youth

Burnsview Secondary team gearing up for poetry festival and competition in April

South Surrey parking ticket perplexes, frustrates

Theresa Delaney predicts more people will be wrongly ticketed

B.C. students win Great Waters Challenge video contest

Video, mural and song about saving the salmon claims the top prize

B.C. athlete takes home gold in freestyle aerials at Canada Games

Brayden Kuroda won the event with a combined score of 121.65.

Pedestrian in serious condition after hit by car downtown Abbotsford

A youth was also hit, suffered minor injuries, police say

Cabinet likely to extend deadline to reconsider Trans Mountain pipeline

New round of consultations with Indigenous communities is coming

B.C. government provides $75,000 towards salmon study

Study looks at abundance and health of Pacific salmon in Gulf of Alaska

Murdered and missing honoured at Stolen Sisters Memorial March in B.C.

‘We come together to make change within the systems in our society’

UBC researchers develop inexpensive tool to test drinking water

The tricoder can test for biological contamination in real-time

Disgraced ex-Congressman Anthony Weiner released from prison

He was convicted of having illicit online contact with a 15-year-old North Carolina girl in 2017

Most Read